Emergency Medicine Journal

Background Emergency Department (ED) crowding is an international crisis primarily driven by exit block. Point of care (POC) cardiac biomarker testing and reduced sampling intervals have been proposed to mitigate crowding by improving throughput, but whole-ED operational impacts remain poorly understood, and evaluations often rely on vulnerable observational designs. This study aimed to assess whether introducing POC high-sensitivity troponin testing and reduced sampling intervals changed whole-ED flow metrics, and to test the robustness of interrupted time series (ITS) methodology in this setting. Methods A multi-centre controlled interrupted time series (CITS) across two large urban intervention EDs and one untreated control ED in Glasgow, UK. The intervention combined whole-blood POC high-sensitivity troponin testing with a reduction in sampling intervals from 3 to 2 hours. Outcomes included daily ED admissions, mean occupancy, maximum occupancy, and mean length of stay. Analyses used a window of 120 days either side of each implementation date. Effects were evaluated using segmented ITS models, with and without controls, with permutation tests against 147 pre-intervention placebo dates. The minimum detectable effects of a similar study, applied to a national dataset, were simulated. Results Across 483,412 presentations to the intervention sites, the intervention produced no statistically significant change in any whole-ED flow metric against the untreated control at either site. Analysed alone, one intervention site appeared to show reductions in mean occupancy (-6.08, 95% CI -12.04 to -0.12) and maximum occupancy (-7.60, -14.47 to -0.73); the untreated control department produced reductions in the same direction at the same date, and both estimates attenuated to the null once the control was applied. Under a pre-specified 14-day transition specification the reductions in the untreated department reached statistical significance while those at the treated site did not. The study was limited by power due to the study window and limited control pool. Simulation demonstrated that a national dataset has the potential to provide operationally feasible and clinically important findings. Conclusion POC cardiac biomarker testing and reduced sampling intervals did not detectably improve whole-ED flow, though the design was underpowered. More importantly, uncontrolled ITS designs are highly vulnerable to confounding in complex healthcare systems; evaluations of operational interventions must utilise concurrent controls, and routinely report falsification tests.

Objectives Emergency Department (ED) crowding is an international concern, predominantly caused by 'exit block', the lack of availability of inpatient beds for those requiring admission. The implementation of Flow Navigation Centre Plus (FNC+) services in Scotland aimed to reduce self-presentation to EDs and reduce crowding by providing remote clinical assessment for patients contacting urgent care by telephone and professional-to-professional advice on patient pathways, but their effectiveness is unknown. This study aimed to estimate the effect of board-wide implementation of FNC+ on ED attendances and long waits during the first year of FNC+ operation. Methods Controlled interrupted time series using weekly, publicly reported Public Health Scotland data. The intervention was implementation of the FNC+ in NHS Lanarkshire on 1 April 2024. Counts were summed across constituent sites and percentages derived from board totals. Co-primary outcomes were ED attendance volume and the proportions of attendances spending more than 4, 8 and 12 hours in the department. Segmented regression was fitted with contemporaneous control boards, seasonal terms, and accounted for autoregression. Results 118 pre-intervention and 52 post-intervention weeks were analysed across all 3 EDs in the implementing board. Attendances showed no detectable step change (+1.20%; 95%CIs -0.66 to +3.10) relative to the counterfactual. The estimated effect increased across follow-up, however, changing by +3.95% over 52 weeks (95% CI +0.36 to +7.67%). There was no significant step change in the proportion of attendances waiting more than 4 hours following the intervention (+1.74%; 95%CIs -0.71 to 4.20%). Some transition and structural sensitivity analyses demonstrated significant deteriorations in ED performance, and increased attendances, in the year following implementation, and none demonstrated improvements. Conclusions Board-wide implementation of a Flow Navigation Centre Plus was not associated with a step change in ED attendances or in long waits, but there is some evidence that attendances increased and long waits increased in the year following implementation. Their provision of supply-sensitive care is a possible mechanism. Additionally, given their action at the point of input, aiming to divert patients from ED attendance, it is unlikely that such services could relieve a constraint due to exit block, the availability of inpatient care for those requiring admission.

We present our Stage-1 Registered Report as a full clinical trial article with all methods in past tense and including mock results, table and figures for the primary analysis. To remind the reader that this Stage-1 article is written before data collection, we highlight in color that these mock results are only for illustrative purposes and will be replaced by the actual results in the Stage-2 Registered Report. Background In patients experiencing out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, optimization of oxygen delivery during cardiopulmonary resuscitation is a critical. Although both positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) and zero end-expiratory pressure (ZEEP) are employed during CPR, their respective impacts on clinically relevant outcomes is yet to be clearly established. Methods This investigator-initiated, pragmatic, registry-based, multicenter, triple-blind randomized controlled superiority trial evaluates whether applying 8 cm H2O PEEP during cardiopulmonary resuscitation improves outcomes compared with ZEEP in adults with non-traumatic, non-drowning out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. Pre-randomized CPR kits (1:1 PEEP vs. sham) were used by ambulance sites during manual ventilation throughout the resuscitation process. The primary analysis was conducted in the principal stratum of patients who received either a supraglottic airway or endotracheal tube. The primary outcome was neurological status at hospital discharge measured by a utility-weighted score on the modified Rankin Scale. Secondary outcomes included prehospital return of spontaneous circulation, 30-day survival, and 6-month quality of life. The primary safety outcome was clinically significant pneumothorax.

Study Objective Little is known about where in hospital care for multiple long-term conditions (MLTC) is delivered. We aimed to describe pathways of care (ward transfers) and outcomes for people admitted to hospital for unscheduled care by MLTC status and other key sociodemographic characteristics. Design and setting Analysis of routinely-collected electronic health records from a large acute UK hospital. Participants Adult unscheduled care admissions from 1st July 2018 to 30th June 2019. The presence of two or more of 59 long-term conditions was ascertained using ICD-10 codes from previous hospital discharges. Main outcome measures Markov state transition probabilities were derived for ward moves and compared for MLTC vs no MLTC, age, sex, ethnicity and neighbourhood deprivation. Outcomes (length of stay, death, readmission, move from definitive ward) and time spent in emergency and assessment departments were compared between subgroups. Results A total of 33,252 adults, mean age 56.0 (SD 21.9) years were analysed; 14,834 (42.4%) had MLTC. People with MLTC were more likely to die in hospital (4.2 vs 1.9%, p<0.001), transfer to internal medicine wards or older peoples medicine wards, were less likely to transfer to surgical wards, had longer median length of stay (1.83 vs 0.69 days, p<0.001), stayed longer in acute medical units (15.5 vs 9.6 hours, p<0.001), and were more likely to move from their definitive ward (18.2 vs 16.4%, p=0.002). Conclusion Unscheduled hospital care pathways are complex and differ for people with MLTC, who have worse outcomes and may be less likely to receive optimal care.

Objectives Emergency department (ED) crowding is recognised as an important public health concern internationally, and is driven principally by exit block, the shortage of inpatient beds for patients requiring admission. This study aimed to evaluate whether a complex intervention targeting hospital occupancy improved ED patient flow, and quantified the change in attendances. Methods A controlled interrupted time series using weekly, publicly reported Public Health Scotland data from 1 January 2022 to 1 February 2026. The multi-component intervention focused on reducing hospital occupancy and included additional adult social care funding; engagement with regional social care providers; accelerated implementation of the Discharge without Delay programme; re-evaluation of whole-hospital escalation thresholds and response; resource and data supporting inpatient department reductions in length of stay; and additional investment in remote clinical assessment. The intervention commenced at a large tertiary ED on 01 February 2025. Primary outcomes were the proportions of attendances spending [&ge;]4, [&ge;]8 and [&ge;]12 hours in the ED. The secondary outcome was attendance volume. Segmented regression was fitted with a contemporaneous control series, seasonal terms and autoregressive moving average errors. Long waits were additionally illustrated as potentially avoided deaths. Results The analysis covered 161 pre-intervention and 52 post-intervention weeks. Relative to pre-intervention levels, the proportion of attendances waiting over 4 hours fell by 10.4% (95% CI 1.6 to 19.2%), by 16.4% (95%CI 1.3 to 31.5%) over 8 hours and by 24.3% (95%CI 2.6 to 46.1%) over 12 hours. Using established associations between long ED waits and excess mortality, by one-year the intervention was potentially associated with 54 fewer excess deaths (95%CI 19 to 93). Attendances rose by 3.8% (95%CI 1.3 to 6.4%) against the counterfactual. Conclusions A complex intervention targeting hospital occupancy was associated with a reduction in long ED waits despite rising attendances. Interventions addressing hospital occupancy can meaningfully improve ED crowding.

Background. A primary constraint on the capacity of EMS programs to meet industry demand is psychomotor instruction and verification, requiring direct observation of each student by a qualified evaluator. Whether AI video analysis can relieve it is untested; none has been applied to EMS skill examination or compared with human examiners. Objective. To quantify human EMS evaluator inter-rater reliability and evaluate an AI video-analysis platform against it. Methods. In a prospective, fully crossed study, five certified EMS evaluators and an AI platform independently scored identical video-recorded EMT performances of cervical collar application (n=15), bag-valve-mask (BVM) ventilation (n=14), and medical assessment (n=15) on dichotomous checklists with critical-failure criteria. Agreement was assessed at item, score, and decision levels using Fleiss' kappa, Krippendorff's alpha, Gwet's AC1, and ICC(2,1)/ICC(2,k). Results. Human item agreement was moderate (kappa 0.409 to 0.467), as was single-rater reliability (ICC(2,1) 0.539 to 0.694), against good panel reliability (ICC(2,k) 0.854 to 0.919). Recorded pass/fail agreement was fair (kappa 0.297 to 0.388) and critical-failure agreement near zero for two skills (kappa 0.028, 0.119). AI alignment tracked rubric observability rather than task complexity: r = 0.857 (collar, exceeding every human), -0.173 (BVM), 0.664 (medical), and it was most lenient on two skills. Conclusions. Human evaluators are an imperfect standard, especially on critical failures. The AI was a legitimate additional rater where checklist items were discrete and visually verifiable, but not where credit required judging continuous quantities such as ventilation rate, volume, or suction duration. Defensible uses are formative and archival, not summative. These results reflect an early, non-specialist configuration: a baseline, not a limit.

Background The time trend in long-term survival after a stroke is to some extent unknow due to (relatively) short follow up periods in available data. The objective of this study is to identify and quantify differences in long-term stroke survival in Sweden between men and women and patients with different attained educational levels, comparing two time-periods, 2000-2009 and 2010-2022. Methods This study employs total population Swedish register data pertaining to hospital-based care and mortality due to stroke for the period 2000-2022 in order to estimate survival (all-cause mortality) after ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke, respectively, and pertaining to attained educational level. Kaplan-Meier survival functions are estimated stratifying for time-period, sex and educational level. Cox regressions are employed to quantify mortality hazard ratios between the strata. Age is taken into account in complementary analyses (supplement). Results Taking only time-period (2000-2009 vs 2010-2022) into account resulted in significantly higher survival in the second period for ischaemic stroke patients (HR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.83-0.84), while no significant difference could be detected for haemorrhagic stroke. Stratifying for sex showed that men gained more than women in terms of reduced mortality hazard rate between the periods. Further stratifying by educational level and estimating survival separately for men and women showed that, for both men and women, patients with the lowest education were relatively worse off (compared to patients with higher education) in the second period. Further analyses, taking age into account, reversed the relative hazard ratio between men and women, but corroborated the result that low education is associated with poorer outcome than high education. Conclusions The results suggest that there are considerable differences in expected long-term survival after stroke between the sexes, but that this may be due to differences in age between the sexes at the time of stroke. Moreover, lower educational level is significantly associated with lower long-time survival.

Background: Consumer use of AI chatbots for health advice is rising, yet triage safety relative to established services remains unclear. Australia's Healthdirect, a government-backed symptom checker with 2.4 million uses in FY2024-25, remains unevaluated against frontier large language models (LLMs), and whether premium subscriptions improve triage safety remains unexplored. This study compared the triage accuracy and safety of Healthdirect against six LLM configurations across ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini, assessed whether paid subscriptions improve triage safety, and characterised each system's error patterns. Methods: Forty-five clinical vignettes from the Semigran et al. benchmark spanning emergency, non-emergent, and self-care categories (15 each) were evaluated across seven systems. Healthdirect was tested following a seven-rule interaction protocol. LLMs were evaluated using first-person patient-language prompts under free-tier and paid-tier conditions. Outcomes were triage accuracy, emergency sensitivity, under-triage, and critical misses, analysed using Cochran's Q, Bonferroni-corrected McNemar tests, Cohen's kappa, and Wilson intervals. Findings: Triage accuracy differed significantly (Cochran's Q = 36.79, p < 0.001). Healthdirect achieved 48.9% accuracy (95% CI 35.0% to 63.0%; kappa = 0.233) versus 73.3% to 86.7% for LLMs (kappa = 0.600 to 0.800). Healthdirect operated under conservative interactive defaults while LLMs received complete information in a single prompt, which may have disadvantaged Healthdirect. Emergency sensitivity was 46.7% versus 80.0% to 86.7% for LLMs. Healthdirect produced two critical misses; no LLM produced any across 270 evaluations (95% CI 0% to 1.4%). When LLMs undertriaged, they recommended GP care rather than self-care. No tier differences were significant (all p > 0.05), and most systems over-triaged self-care cases. Interpretation: Frontier LLMs demonstrated higher triage accuracy and safer error profiles than Healthdirect. All LLMs avoided critical misses; Healthdirect did not. Premium subscriptions did not significantly improve triage safety. These findings support clinical governance decisions about whether LLMs warrant formal evaluation alongside government-backed symptom checkers.

Background Agenda-setting is a fundamental patient-centered communication practice in which a clinician works with a patient to elicit, propose, and organize topics for discussion during a clinical encounter. Various agenda-setting interventions have been developed, including patient-facing tools and clinician training, but their effects have not been systematically evaluated. We aimed to determine the effects of these interventions on encounter, patient, care partner, and clinician outcomes. Methods We searched grey literature and seven databases, including PubMed, from inception through July 2025 for randomized and non-randomized comparative studies of interventions designed to promote or improve clinical visit agenda-setting. Two reviewers independently screened articles and extracted data, with a third reviewer resolving conflicts. We assessed risk of bias using RoB 2 for randomized studies and ROBINS-I for non-randomized studies. We conducted random effects meta-analyses when outcomes were sufficiently comparable, assessed heterogeneity using I2, and rated certainty of evidence using GRADE. Post hoc exploratory subgroup analyses examined study design, adjustment status, and intervention structure. Results Twenty-nine articles describing 22 unique studies met the inclusion criteria, including 13 randomized and nine non-randomized studies. Agenda-setting interventions increased the occurrence of agenda-setting (risk ratio 5.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.06 to 14.28, I2=34.6%) and favored the intervention for concerns addressed when measured as a continuous outcome (standardized mean difference (SMD) 0.37, 95% CI 0.16 to 0.57, I2=65.3%) and overall clinician satisfaction (SMD 0.50, 95% CI 0.23 to 0.78, I2=0.0%). There were no clear differences in the number of concerns raised (mean difference (MD) 0.21, 95% CI -0.19 to 0.61, I2=59.6%), visit duration (MD 0.64 minutes, 95% CI -0.83 to 2.12, I2=51.4%), or overall patient satisfaction (SMD 0.05, 95% CI -0.05 to 0.15, I2=47.0%). Potentially important heterogeneity was present for four of these six outcomes. Post hoc exploratory subgroup analyses did not provide clear evidence that effects varied by study design, adjustment status, or intervention structure. Risk of bias was often high, serious, or critical, and certainty of evidence was low or very low for all pooled outcomes. Conclusions To our knowledge, this is the first comprehensive synthesis of clinical visit agenda-setting interventions. Such interventions may increase the occurrence of agenda-setting and the extent to which patient concerns are addressed without increasing visit length. However, the certainty of evidence was low or very low, and the available evidence does not establish a superior intervention structure.

Background: Atrial fibrillation detected after stroke (AFDAS) is frequently diagnosed after embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) and has important implications for secondary stroke prevention. Although prediction scores have been proposed to identify patients at increased risk of AFDAS, prospective evidence supporting their implementation to guide rhythm monitoring in routine clinical practice is limited. Methods: In this prospective, population-based implementation cohort study, adults with ESUS were enrolled between January 2022 and December 2024 across all stroke centers in Styria, Austria. The Graz AF Risk Score was prospectively implemented as part of a risk-adapted diagnostic pathway for cardiac rhythm monitoring. Patients with a score [&ge;]4 were recommended for implantable loop recorder monitoring, whereas monitoring in those with scores <4 remained at the treating physician's discretion. The primary outcome was AFDAS detection; recurrent ischemic stroke and recurrent stroke etiology were secondary outcomes. Results: Among 784 patients (median age 73 years [IQR 64-80], 45.7% women), AFDAS was detected in 166 patients (21.2%) during a median follow-up of 26.3 months (IQR 20-34). AFDAS detection was substantially higher in patients with a Graz AF Risk Score [&ge;]4 than <4 (38.1% vs. 3.9%; p<0.001). After adjustment for age, sex and ILR monitoring, a score [&ge;]4 independently predicted AFDAS (HR 6.3, 95% CI 3.5-11.2; p<0.001) and recurrent ischemic stroke (HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.1-4.1; p=0.023). Only one recurrent stroke in patients with a score <4 was attributable to atrial fibrillation (AF) (1/18, 5.6%). Conclusions: Prospective implementation of the Graz AF Risk Score identified patients with ESUS at markedly different risks of AFDAS. A Graz AF Risk Score [&ge;]4 was also independently associated with recurrent ischemic stroke. These findings support a risk-adapted approach to cardiac rhythm monitoring after ESUS.

Occupational ocular injuries are a preventable yet neglected public health problem, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Maintenance workers are exposed to diverse ocular hazards daily, yet compliance with protective measures is consistently poor. A descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted among 85 maintenance workers at the Maintenance and Essential Services Organization (MESO) of Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology (KNUST), Ghana, recruited through stratified convenience sampling across seven occupational sections. A structured questionnaire assessed knowledge of ocular hazards and protective equipment, attitudes toward ocular safety, and safety practices. Data were analyzed using IBM SPSS version 26 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA); chi-square and Fishers exact tests assessed associations (p < 0.05). Participants were predominantly male (84/85, 98.8%), with a mean age of 44.5 {+/-} 10.4 years. Overall knowledge was good (mean 9.40 {+/-} 1.59 out of 11), but attitude and practice scores were average (2.78 {+/-} 0.92 and 3.27 {+/-} 0.93, respectively). Most workers correctly identified goggles and face shields as protective, but only about half recognized that ordinary sunglasses and spectacles offer inadequate protection. Although 97.6% (83/85) recognized the need for ocular protection, only 7.1% (6/85) reported consistent protective eyewear use, and fewer than half (45.9%, 39/85) had received formal ocular safety training. Routine general protective equipment use was significantly associated with ocular protection use (Fishers exact test, p = 0.011). Sand and dust particles were the leading causes of injury and only 25% (5/20) of injured workers sought formal care. Workers demonstrated good knowledge but poor attitudes and practices toward ocular safety, suggesting that knowledge alone does not translate into protective behaviour even within a relatively well-resourced institutional setting. Findings suggest that limited access to task-appropriate protective eyewear may represent an important institutional barrier. Institutional PPE supply and section-specific safety training are essential to bridge this knowledge-practice gap.

Background: Aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) is frequently complicated by delayed cerebral ischaemia (DCI), for which current therapies incompletely target the underlying multifactorial pathophysiology. Transauricular vagus nerve stimulation (taVNS) modulates inflammatory, vasoactive and autonomic pathways and may attenuate secondary brain injury after aSAH. Methods: We conducted a prospective, single-centre, single-blind, randomised, sham-controlled pilot trial in adults within 5 days of aneurysm securing for non-traumatic aSAH. Participants were allocated 1:1 to active taVNS (left tragus) or sham (left earlobe) using a portable device delivered for 45 minutes twice daily over 5 days. Primary outcomes were safety (taVNS-related serious adverse events), acceptability, and compliance; secondary outcomes included inflammatory biomarkers, DCI, in-hospital complications, and functional outcomes to 1 month. Results: Thirty patients were randomised (16 taVNS, 14 sham), with numerically more severe aSAH at baseline in the taVNS arm. No taVNS-related serious adverse events occurred; side effects were generally mild and transient, and over 80% of planned sessions were completed. TaVNS produced greater reductions in serum tumour necrosis factor- and trends towards reductions in interleukin-1{beta} and interleukin-10, with numerically fewer DCI events (6.6% vs 35.7%) and neurological impairments (16.7% vs 53.8%), although functional outcomes were not statistically different at 1 month. Conclusions: Early taVNS after aSAH is safe, acceptable, and feasible in the neurocritical care setting and shows biologically plausible signals warranting evaluation in larger multi-centre trials.

Background. Routine service databases are attractive sources of training labels for clinical prediction models, but the processes that write those labels are rarely audited before the labels are used. In a deployed community cognitive-screening programme, we audited the routine cognitive-status label, built a matrix of twenty-four model arms over the same patients under a specialist reference standard, and measured what each supervision choice bought or cost. Methods. The study cohort is the 672 individuals whose cognitive status was recorded by a titled (attending-or-above) physician, that record being the reference standard; after holding out one institution entirely, a development panel of 642 individuals at 38 institutions. The routine cognitive-status label these individuals also carry was first audited at the operator level: for each data-entry account we counted diagnoses entered and the proportion recording any impairment, and tested a competing bulk-timestamp explanation. Twenty-four arms span the supervision choices such a programme faces: an incumbent 21-variable logistic regression; local language models (Qwen2.5-1.5B/3B, Qwen3-4B/8B) zero-shot, with chain-of-thought, fine-tuned on physician labels, on routine labels with and without decontamination, or on a proxy scale-band task; preference-optimised (DPO) and reinforcement-trained (GRPO) variants; a proprietary frontier model queried zero-shot; and knowledge distillation of that frontier model into the regression and into the local 4B, using 943 teacher-labelled records from the programme's unlabelled pool. All arms are scored out-of-fold under one five-fold split grouped on registry-resolved institution clusters (no cluster spans a fold); paired contrasts use a 2,000-draw cluster bootstrap. Results. 181 operator accounts (each entering at least 100 diagnoses with zero recorded impairments) account for 45,315 rows - 40.5% of the outcome column; recorded impairment falls monotonically with account volume (15.7% for 1-9 rows to 0.7% for 500-999); a bulk-timestamp explanation was tested and refuted, identifying the write-time column as a migration artefact. Under the specialist standard, no locally fine-tuned arm beat the incumbent regression (AUROC 0.926): physician-label SFT reached 0.924 (4B), DPO 0.881, and GRPO 0.789; the pre-registered two-stage proxy-then-RL recipe was worse than its single-stage contaminated baseline (-0.030, 95% CI -0.077 to -0.004). Chain-of-thought reduced discrimination at every size (-0.072, -0.080, -0.041 at 1.5B/3B/4B; -0.012, n.s., at 8B). The frontier model scored 0.932 (vs. regression +0.007, n.s.). The distilled 4B reached 0.940 - above the incumbent (+0.014, 0.004 to 0.031) and above its own teacher (+0.008, 0.001 to 0.017) - with near-teacher calibration; it reached the teacher's level by 50 teacher labels and changed little beyond 200. Conclusions. The audit and the arm matrix support one deployment recipe: audit the routine label at the operator level before training on it; do not expect fine-tuning, preference optimisation, or reinforcement learning on a few hundred specialist cases to beat a well-calibrated regression; and if a frontier model is available but undeployable, spend a bounded number of queries on it as a labelling instrument and distil. A companion paper uses these frozen predictions to quantify how evaluation design choices compare with model choice.

Background: On-call clinicians frequently report the anecdotal impression of 'theme shifts' during which specific acute neurological diagnoses appear to cluster. Whether such clustering reflects a statistically true and reproducible phenomenon has not been systematically investigated; the present paper examines seasonality and temporal clustering within six different acute neurological conditions. Methods: In this retrospective, single-center cohort study, we identified all patients admitted to a tertiary neurological department between July 2016 and June 2026 with acute unilateral vestibulopathy, cerebral artery dissection, generalized epileptic seizures, primary intracerebral hemorrhage, peripheral facial nerve palsy, or transient global amnesia (TGA) (n = 2,140). Monthly and seasonal distributions were assessed using chi-squared goodness-of-fit and cosinor analysis. Short-term temporal clustering was tested by Monte Carlo permutation across time windows from 24 hours to 90 days, and endogenous cluster dynamics were characterized using Hawkes self-exciting point process modeling. Results: Admissions for generalized epileptic seizures showed a statistically significant deviation from a uniform monthly distribution with a winter distribution (p<0.001 and q = 0.002), and a significant temporal clustering across time windows from 72 hours to 90 days (all q < 0.05). Peripheral facial nerve palsy presented significant clustering at the 90-day window (q = 0.029) and TGA at 60-day time window (q = 0.041) without seasonality; the diagnostic groups of acute unilateral vestibulopathy, cerebral artery dissection and primary intracerebral hemorrhage showed neither seasonality nor clustering after correction for multiple comparison. No diagnostic group showed clustering within a 24-hour window, statistically significant self-excitation in Hawkes process modelling, or a significant linear trend in monthly case counts over the study period. Conclusion: The anecdotal impression of diagnostic 'theme shifts' among on-call neurologists appears to have a measurable basis, although clustering is confined to specific conditions and rather on a time scale of weeks to months. Generalized epileptic seizures were the only diagnostic group that uniquely combined seasonality with temporal clustering, suggesting a shared trigger, while facial palsy and TGA showed episodic, yet non-seasonal clustering.

Background: Evidence regarding delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) remains sparse. We aimed to identify its predictors and occurrence and evaluate its role in ischemic stroke and functional outcome under treatment with interventional rescue therapy (IRT). Methods: This retrospective single-center study included 628 adults with aSAH from 2014?2023. The primary endpoint was occurrence of refractory DCI (= refractory despite induced hypertension) treated with at least one IRT. Multivariable models evaluated refractory DCI, new ischemic stroke, and poor functional outcome (mRS 3?6) at 6?12 months. Results: Among 628 included patients, 61 who died within 3 days were excluded from DCI analysis; 166/567 (29%) developed refractory DCI. Younger age (OR = 0.98; P<0.001), female sex (OR = 0.57; P=0.007), and higher WFNS grade (OR = 1.18; P=0.011) were independently associated with refractory DCI. Earlier first IRT was associated with longer DCI duration (IRR = 0.88; P<0.001) and more required IRTs (IRR = 0.91; P<0.001). IRT was performed later than day 14 in 29/166 patients (17.5%); none was older than 70 years. Refractory DCI was associated with new ischemic stroke (OR = 4.68; P<0.001) and poor functional outcome (OR = 2.37; P<0.001); earlier first IRT was associated with poor outcome within the refractory DCI subgroup (OR = 0.86; P=0.03). Outcomes after 1?2 IRTs did not differ from those without refractory DCI (P=0.4), whereas ?3 IRTs were associated with poor outcome (P=0.04). Conclusions: Refractory DCI affected 29% of aSAH patients, predominantly younger women and patients with poorer initial neurological status, and extended beyond day 14 in nearly 20% of affected patients, none of whom was older than 70 years. Refractory DCI and earlier onset were associated with poorer radiological and functional outcomes. The absence of a detected outcome difference after 1?2 IRTs suggests that favorable outcomes may remain achievable despite refractory DCI.

Purpose. Prognostic assessments after acute brain injury are largely narrative, and how prognostic language relates to subsequent care has not been measured at scale. We quantified where it is written and its association with a subsequent code-status limitation. Materials and Methods. Multidatabase observational study of adults with acute brain injury or a related neurologic emergency, using MIMIC-IV (2008-2019; discharge summaries and radiology reports) and a timestamped MIMIC-III cohort (notes and code-status orders). The exposure was documented prognostic language; outcomes were its association with a subsequent full-code-to-limitation transition, note-stream location, and completeness of documented command-following relative to structured Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) motor scores. Results. Among 31,993 admissions (27,054 patients; median age, 69 years; 54.9% male), prognostic language in the timestamped cohort (MIMIC-III) was associated with a subsequent code-status limitation after multivariable adjustment (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.3; 95% CI, 2.9-6.5; unadjusted 14-day cumulative incidence, 40% vs 8.5%), including the comfort-measures component (3.9), a higher-risk subgroup (4.4), and after acute-physiology adjustment (4.1); the association was concentrated in the first 3 days. Non-prognostic severity language showed no comparable association (hazard ratios, 1.1-1.3). Prognostic language localized almost entirely to the narrative (4.9% of discharge summaries vs 0.015% of radiology reports); command-following was undocumented in 55.7% of summaries, and no final-24-hour GCS motor score was charted in 72.8%. Conclusions. Documented prognostic language after acute brain injury was written in the narrative, not structured fields, and was associated with a subsequent code-status limitation after multivariable adjustment. This observational association cannot establish causation but warrants prospective study.

Objective To measure the accuracy of clinical coding, clinician review, and a locally deployed large language model (LLM) in identifying alcohol, drug, and self-harm involvement in emergency department (ED) attendances, and quantify prevalence. Design Two-phase diagnostic accuracy study. In a validation week, the identification strategies were assessed against a conflict-adjudicated reference standard (n=2,256); the LLM was then applied to n=105,096 annual attendances at the same site. Setting UK Type 1 Emergency Department treating patients [&ge;]16yrs. Main outcome measures Prevalence quantification compared with the reference standard; sensitivity, specificity, and balanced accuracy of each strategy; monthly identification rates and adjusted annual prevalence. Results The reference standard identified 12.1% of attendances as involving alcohol, drugs, or self-harm (coding 6.0%; clinician 10.0%, LLM 15.6%). LLM balanced accuracy matched or outperformed clinician review in all three domains (alcohol 0.942 v 0.930, p=0.635; drug 0.959 v 0.791, p<0.001; self-harm 0.982 v 0.908, p=0.004). Coding recorded 1.07 domains per identified patient against 1.32 in the reference standard. Adjusted annual prevalence corresponded to 12,890 domain involvements per year not identifiable in coded data. Subdomain classification found at least 81.6% of self-harm attendances required medical assessment for injury or overdose before psychiatric review. Conclusions Clinical coding identified fewer than half of presentations involving alcohol, drugs, and self-harm and rarely captured co-occurring domains; under-recording was present across a full year. A locally deployed LLM generated more complete structured data from existing clinical text within NHS infrastructure, at a scale which is not feasible for manual review.

Background: The relative merits of infrainguinal bypass and primary major lower limb amputation (MLLA) for chronic limb-threatening ischaemia (CLTI) remain uncertain, and the baseline profiles of patients selected for each strategy are poorly described. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis were undertaken in accordance with PRISMA 2020 and prospectively registered (PROSPERO: CRD42022356094). MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL, and CINAHL were searched from inception to March 2025. Prospective studies of adults with CLTI undergoing primary infrainguinal bypass or primary MLLA were eligible. Mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and subsequent amputation outcomes were synthesised using random-effects meta-analysis of proportions. Baseline comorbidity profiles were also extracted. Results: Twenty-seven studies involving 6,576 patients were included: 5,779 underwent infrainguinal bypass and 797 underwent MLLA. After bypass, pooled mortality was 3.7% at 30 days (95% CI 2.8%-4.9%, I2 = 49.4%), 18.5% at 1 year (95% CI 15.6%-21.9%, I2 = 62.3%), and 54.3% at 5 years (95% CI 50.5%-58.0%, I2 = 0%). After MLLA, pooled mortality was 9.2% at 30 days (95% CI 4.1%-19.3%, I2 = 73.5%), 28.5% at 1 year (95% CI 13.3%-51.0, I2 = 70.8%), and 39.9% at 2 years (95% CI 0.3%-99.3, I2 = 90.5%), although longer-term estimates were limited by sparse data and marked heterogeneity. Thirty-day MACE was 6.5% (95% CI 4.3%-9.7, I2 = 63.5%) after bypass and 2.8% after MLLA (95% CI 0.1%-37.6%, I2 = 0%). Early subsequent major amputation after bypass occurred in 3.9% of patients (95% CI 2.0%-7.7%, I2 = 91.2%), rising to 16.2% at 1 year (95% CI 12.6%-20.5%, I2 = 82.0%) and 33.3% at 3 years (95% CI 20.1%-49.8%, I2 = 0%). Early re-amputation after MLLA occurred in 10.9% of patients (95% CI 4.5%-24.4%, I2 = 40.3%). Baseline comorbidity burden was high in both groups, with substantial heterogeneity across studies. Conclusions: CLTI carries a poor prognosis regardless of treatment strategy. Infrainguinal bypass is associated with lower early mortality and better early limb preservation than primary MLLA, but long-term survival remains poor and later limb failure is common. Primary MLLA is not a low-risk alternative. Better contemporary comparative evidence utilising modern causal inference approaches is needed to support individualised decision-making.

Background: Unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) are increasingly identified incidentally, and management balances rupture risk against treatment risk. UIA diagnosis has been linked to psychological distress, but psychotropic medication initiation after UIA discovery has not been compared across the full UIA management spectrum. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using IBM MarketScan claims (CCAE, MDCD, and MDCR; 2009-2023) among adults with a UIA diagnosis, continuous enrollment for 365 days before and after the index date, and no SAH/rupture on or before the index date. We compared the prevalence of 6 mental-health diagnoses before versus after UIA discovery and used adjusted logistic regression to examine psychotropic medication initiation within 365 days by management strategy (untreated observation as the reference). Results: Among 54,945 patients (untreated, 78.5%; endovascular, 11.3%; clipping, 3.0%; other/uncertain, 7.2%), prevalence of every mental-health diagnosis was higher after UIA discovery, most for depression (+4.6 percentage points) and anxiety (+4.5 points). Medication initiation was most common for benzodiazepines (8.7%). Endovascular treatment was associated with higher adjusted odds of benzodiazepine (aOR, 1.21), SSRI (aOR, 1.20), and sedative-hypnotic (aOR, 1.25) initiation.Surgical clipping demonstrated the broadest association, with higher odds across 5 of 6 classes, including benzodiazepines (aOR, 1.71) and sedative-hypnotics (aOR, 1.86). Benzodiazepines had the lowest 1-year persistence (10.5%) despite being the most commonly initiated class. Findings were consistent across sensitivity analyses, with the exception of the increase in panic disorder, which was no longer observed after applying a 30-day post-index lag. Conclusions: Mental-health diagnoses and psychotropic medication initiation increased after UIA discovery, and medication initiation was most pronounced among patients treated with surgical clipping. These findings support psychological assessment as part of aneurysm management regardless of strategy.

Background: Exclusive breastfeeding may protect infants against common infections and support healthy growth and development. Working mothers may face constraints on exclusive breastfeeding arising from work schedules, separation from their infants, and inadequate breastfeeding support. National evidence on the individual, healthcare-related, and contextual factors associated with exclusive breastfeeding among working Ghanaian mothers appears to remain limited. Design: Cross-sectional secondary analysis. Setting: Nationally representative survey covering urban and rural communities across all 16 administrative regions of Ghana. Participants: The analysis included 620 currently working mothers whose youngest living infants were aged 0-5 completed months and lived with them. The complete-case multivariable analysis included 619 mother-infant pairs. Primary outcome measure: Current exclusive breastfeeding, defined using the standard 24-hour infant-feeding indicator. Infants were classified as exclusively breastfed when they received breast milk without water, formula, animal milk, other liquids, or solid or semi-solid foods during the preceding day or night. Oral rehydration solution, vitamins, minerals and prescribed medicines were permitted. Aim: To estimate the prevalence of exclusive breastfeeding and examine its individual, healthcare-related and contextual correlates among working mothers of infants aged 0-5 months in Ghana. Methods: Birth Recode data from the 2022 Ghana Demographic and Health Survey were analysed. Unweighted frequencies and survey-weighted percentages described the study population. Design-adjusted Wald tests assessed bivariate associations. Survey-weighted binary logistic regression estimated adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), accounting for sampling weights, primary sampling units, and strata. Results: The survey-weighted prevalence of exclusive breastfeeding was 54.3% (95% CI: 49.2-59.3). Ethnicity, mode of delivery, region, and community poverty appeared to be statistically significant in the bivariate analyses. In the adjusted model, region was jointly associated with exclusive breastfeeding (p = 0.004). Mothers in the Northern (AOR = 4.93; 95% CI: 1.5-16.17) and Savannah (AOR = 4.22; 95% CI: 1.08-16.41) regions had higher odds than mothers in the Western Region. Mothers in low-education communities had lower odds than those in high-education communities (AOR = 0.54; 95% CI: 0.30-0.98). Although Guan mothers had higher odds than Akan mothers, the overall association with ethnicity was non-significant, and the estimate appeared imprecise. Maternal age, individual education, religion, parity, wealth, infant sex, antenatal care, postnatal care, and residence were not independently associated with exclusive breastfeeding. Conclusion: The prevalence estimate suggests that slightly more than half of working mothers exclusively breastfed their infants. Regional and community differences appeared more pronounced than those associated with most measured individual characteristics. Regionally responsive breastfeeding support and practical community education may contribute to improved coverage. Workplace recommendations require further evidence because employment conditions were not measured directly. Keywords: Exclusive breastfeeding; working mothers; infant feeding; maternal employment; regional inequalities; community education; Ghana; 2022 Ghana Demographic and Health Survey; survey-weighted analysis.